Leaving Britain

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November 5 doesn’t mean much to most people around the world. Here, in our home in Spain, it’s just another workday.

However, in the UK it is one of the major events of the calendar – Guy Fawkes Night (also called Bonfire Night).

It commemorates the discovery of the Gunpowder Plot in 1605, when a group of leading Catholics planned to blow up the Houses of Parliament in an attempt to assassinate King James I and replace him with a Catholic monarch. Guy Fawkes was supposed to execute the plot, but was discovered in a cellar underneath Parliament along with the gunpowder.

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Many years ago I read Peter Mayle’s classic A Year in Provence.

At the time I remember thinking ‘Blimey, that’s the life.’ Writing a few hours a day and then trailing around the French countryside the rest of the time.

Hardly a deep, or unique reaction I know. Everyone thought the same, which was why the book went on to sell so many copies and turned Peter Mayle into a rich and famous man.

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Ernest Hemingway, Tom Wolfe, Bill Bryson … the list of successful authors who started their writing careers in journalism is a long and illustrious one.

Like so many other journalists, I too have been dreaming of that publishing deal that would set me on the road to literary fortune. In fact, my journalistic career was more happenstance than design, a by-product of my early book writing efforts, rather than the other way around.

The impulse to write has been with me since my exercise book-filled scribbles at infants’ school. But it wasn’t until a backpacking trip around Spain with my wife in 1997 that I took the all-important step, and committed to become a writer. And that means consistently putting pen to paper.

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Last summer it was the record floods impelling people to flee Britain in search of a better life abroad. This year’s headline incentive it seems will be the global credit crunch.

 

According to new research conducted by YouGov for Legal & General, and reported in the Scotsman, 19% of Scotland’s five million population would be prepared to move abroad to escape the sharp rise in living costs stemming from the credit crunch. And an estimated 550 people a week are thought to be leaving Scotland for a life overseas already.

But while the UK is undoubtedly an expensive place to live, it isn’t the only nation to be hit by escalating living costs.

 

Food prices around the world are soaring thanks to a combination of forces, including long-term droughts in Australia and more US farmers turning their crops over to biofuels. Meanwhile, oil continues to trade around $130 per barrel, compared to an average of $20 – $30 over the past 60 years, which has caused petrol and fuel costs to rocket everywhere. And because oil powers so much of the world’s manufacturing it has fed through into price rises for a welter of other goods.

 

As a result, inflation is once again rearing its head on a global scale.

 

In response, the European Central Bank raised eurozone interest rates to 4% last Wednesday, double what it was just 18 months ago. ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet indicated further rate rises could follow too. Not got news for borrowers.

 

And with the euro remaining strong against the pound, any money transferred from the UK to Europe will not go nearly as far as it once did. Popular British expat destinations like Spain, France and Portugal are no longer such cheap alternatives then.

 

In addition, while you may find moving abroad gives you a lower cost of living, you also need to consider what your earnings are likely to be in your new location. Yes, your living costs may go down, but if your income decreases by a similar amount how much better off will you really be?

 

Of course the expense of UK living is a concern for many people. But it is a global phenomenon. Better therefore to think before you jump. So if you’re considering a move abroad, make sure your decision is based on a real heart’s desire to experience life overseas, rather than in response to external – and potentially temporary – factors.

 

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Research this week from the House of Commons Library suggests England’s population will have shot up by 17 million people by 2056, taking the total for England alone to 67.9 million. The cause: more births, people living longer, and large immigration flows.

 

Indeed, the latter point appears to be gaining increasing significance, according to the National Statistician, Karen Dunnell. Her research, reports the Daily Mail, reveals that from 1992-96 (when the Conservatives were in government) ‘natural change’ as a result of people living longer or having more children was the biggest contributor to UK population growth. This accounted for an additional 582,604 people, compared to 143,112 from net migration and other factors.

 

However, under Labour, points out the Mail, net migration has taken over as the primary factor behind population growth. From 1997-2001, migrants and other factors added 532,652 people to the total, whereas 416,471 came from natural change. And from 2002 to 2006 net migration climbed to 932,999 people, almost double the 528,429 increase that stemmed from natural change.

 

On the flip side, the most recent figures from the Office for National Statistics show that 207,000 British citizens emigrated in 2006, the highest number since current records began in 1991. And from 1997-2007, a total of more than 1.5 million Brits moved abroad. The figure was jumped on by Conservative immigration spokesman Damian Green, who claimed the exodus was a reflection of a decade of life under Labour.

 

Certainly there is a connection in many people’s minds between the two flows (particularly if you browse through the Daily Mail and Telegraph reader message boards). Immigration is making our densely populated little island even more overcrowded, putting more pressure on our already stretched housing stock, and on our health, education and transport systems. As a result, disgruntled Britons are fleeing in their droves in search of a better quality of life elsewhere.

 

This seems an illogical argument to me. You’re fed up with people moving into your country, so you’re going to move to someone else’s instead! And how do you suppose the local population in Spain or Australia or Canada feels about it? Would you blame them if they reacted with hostility to your incursion?

 

I too jumped ship and left England five years ago, so I can understand the motivations involved in migrating somewhere in search of a better life, wherever that may be. And I can only say I hope any legal immigrant to Britain is welcomed as warmly as I have been by the people here. After all, what’s sauce for the goose …

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